Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City prediction

Match result

Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City was played on 2026-06-22 in Premier Division. The recorded final score is 1–1. The recorded prediction result is incorrect.

Published prediction

SmartMatchPick's archived analysis records the selection as OVER_1_5. The published selection was OVER_1_5, with model confidence of 77%. This page keeps the original pick and match result together for review.

Goals-market record

Published goals selection: over. Settled outcome: correct.

Model notes

Ensemble Over 1.5 prob: 77.1% from 6 models | xG: 1.82 vs 0.88 | Reliability: 80/100 | EV: 6.4% @ 1.38 (10Bet) | Kelly: 16.9% [easy], Q-Kelly stake: 4.23% of bankroll

Predictions are statistical estimates, not guarantees. Compare the model selection with the final score and review the prediction methodology. Browse league results for more archived matches. See every archived fixture from 2026-06-22.