Smart bet prediction: what 'smart' actually means in football picks

A smart bet prediction is a selection where the model probability exceeds the bookmaker's implied probability — meaning the expected return per unit staked is positive. The word 'smart' in betting has a precise definition: it refers to expected value, not to the gut feel of the person making the pick. Smartips, superpicks, and super match predictions are all terms that carry the 'smart' label — what matters is whether any of them measure and publish their expected value.

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