Over/Under 2.5 goals is one of the most popular football betting markets and one of the best-modelled by AI prediction systems. The market settles on whether total match goals are 3 or more (Over 2.5) or 2 or fewer (Under 2.5). Poisson models generate this probability directly from each team's expected goals rate — making it more precisely calculable than opinion-based tips. European leagues average 2.4–3.3 goals per match, meaning Over 2.5 hits roughly 55–68% of the time depending on the league.
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