AI vs expert predictions: where data beats intuition and where it doesn't

AI vs expert predictions resolves to a data problem: where does the expert's edge come from, and can AI replicate it? Experts have genuine advantages in soft-information access — insider contacts, training ground observation, tactical intuition — that no current AI model can match. AI has genuine advantages in data processing breadth, consistency across hundreds of picks, and immunity to the narrative and recency biases that systematically degrade expert accuracy. The optimal approach uses both.

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